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Friday 16 May 2014

Election Prediction

Some one asked me recently how the elections are going in Brent.  I have always been quite wary of predictions, but I shall be surprised if Labour does not come back with a good, possibly increased, majority.

The main Labour opponent in Brent are the Liberal Democrats, and they have been shattered by the shock of going into coalition with the Tories.  Especially in Labour leaning areas, their pitch was to be Labour without the difficult bits, so clubbing together with the Tories in the most right wing government this country has seen for decades was an enormous blow to many of their supporters.  Locally, I am told their membership is falling, and that they struggled to get a full slate of candidates. Indeed, some of their candidates are not even Brent residents.

The Tories in Brent are somewhat isolated from general trends.  There is only a limited UKIP presence here, but the Tory organisation is again threadbare and has been for some time.

The Greens, perhaps wisely, have drawn their horns in compared to previous elections.

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